DOLLAR OF THE USA
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BBH about opposite movements of dollar and pound
Brown Brothers Harriman:
Movement against dollar, similar, speeds up. It is caused equally both strong euros and pound, and weak dollar. Besides, the mood of dollar (reaction of the market to news on fundamental indicators means) is the key moment. Yesterday`s price movements confirm this point of view. In spite of the fact that FRS prefers inflation on index PCE, hardly slower growth pure CPI has been named by the reason of falling of dollar. However as the additional reason of pressure upon dollar name the weak report on manufacture volume. Really, strong falling of manufacture caused by weather conditions, has brought the mite. However news about high growth of manufacture in industrial sector (0.7 %) therefore 1 quarter has come to the end on the strong note became even more important from the economic point of view. The beginnings besides, of housing constructions in the USA have grown the second month successively in March to 1.518 million from 1.399 million In January. So, that could support with ease to dollar, became an occasion to sales, reflecting thereby importance of negative mood. The pound keeps above level of $2.00 here already more than days. To yesterday`s high data on inflation conversations that at following session the Bank of England can lift rates on 50 b.p today were added., instead of 25. As to today`s data demands for unemployment benefits were reduced more expectations, and aggregate profits have grown to 4.6 % that exceeds target level of Bank of England at a rate of 4.5 %, satisfying price stability. Besides, the report of session of Bank of England has shown, that the dissident of February Blenchflauer took a time-out, and here Besli and Sentens have caused a stir a categoriality and have voted for increase of rates. As a result of abacus 7-2. As the bank of England considers, that inflation can is strong fall later this year (that King operating bank has repeated yesterday), rate increase on 25 b.p. Looks more pertinent, than panic increase on 50 b.p.
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